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Yet another weird SF fan
 

Saturday, November 20, 2010

Artificial Intelligence vs. Intelligence Amplification, Part IV

My earlier speculations on AI vs. IA can be found here, there, and yonder.

In Part II, I gave as a reason to regard IA as more likely than Colossus, Skynet, or HAL 9000:

The theory that a few Great Minds can outdo a crowd of supposedly-lesser minds is one of the bases of central planning. The central planners supposedly know best. In the real world …

Along similar lines, attempts to keep undesirables out of the United States generally kept out people we can now recognize as assets.

In the Leviathan version of AI, democracies have generally been more successful than dictatorships. Similarly, attempts to regulate corporations (whether pro- or anti-corporate), have generally pushed business across the state or national boundary.

More recently, Robin Hanson in his series of posts on Overcoming Bias on “ems” has made it clear that he expects the next exponential mode to be a matter of an exponential growth in the number of emulated personalities (called “ems”). I had earlier thought he was theorizing a situation similar to that in “Slow Tuesday Night” by R. A. Lafferty.

I was a bit dubious about Hanson's theory on the grounds that I thought the surplus computing power would be more likely to go into amplifying ordinary human beings than into making more human personalities. I then realized that that was based on the theory that “a few Great Minds can outdo a crowd of supposedly-lesser minds,” which is the same theory that I rejected earlier.

Hmmmm… Maybe AI will be more important in the future than I had expected…

1 Comments:

Blogger SINVILLE said...

Artificial Intelligence vs. Intelligence Amplification:

"Japanese are developing humanoid robots and we’re importing illiterates from south of the border – who’s going to end up with the better deal?"

We are, and our advantage will be those very illiterates that are antipathetically viewed as our encumbrance to success. History proves that poverty, disadvantage, are often the catalyst to creativity, and achievement.

"Building up from within ourselves ought to be easier than figuring out first what we really are and then building machines that are all of that. And there is at least conjectural precedent for this approach."

Do humans have something unique, and undefined that can never be replicated artificially? If so, it is not only easier but the latter task is impossible, and ironically the former answers the better deal inquiry

1:58 AM  

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