Answering a Scott Adams Question

Scott Adams asks (as summarized by Randall Parker):

If the vast majority of smart people can't beat the stock market indexes why do they think they can do better at knowing who to elect as President?

The vast majority of smart people can't beat the stock market indexes because the vast majority of smart people can't beat the vast majority of smart people.

You can't jump over your shadow.

The vast majority of people can't make a better decision about selecting a President than the voters because the vast majority of people can't beat the vast majority of people.