Cognitive Blind Spots in the Real World
A few years ago, I criticized the claim that “cognitive blind spots” made economics obsolete:
Meanwhile, the studies purporting to show cognitive blind spots are based on asking unbriefed people questions in highly artificial environments. I have read that when the knowledge of physics of The Celebrated Man In The Street is analyzed under similar circumstances, most people will give the wrong answer when asked about the behavior of objects swung in a circle and then released. On the other hand, most people can throw a ball across the room. Maybe they're better at making decisions than at answering questions about making decisions.It looks like there's evidence that people with some incentive to think logically actually do so.