Yet another weird SF fan


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Yet another weird SF fan
 

Sunday, December 14, 2008

Which States Have Been the Swing States?

I've been wondering which states have been the swing states. If you list the states in order from most Democratic to most Republican in a Presidential election, which states have been the ones to put the victor over the top? For example, in the last three Presidential elections, Florida was famously the swing state of 2000, Ohio was the swing state of 2004, and Iowa was the swing state of 2008.

I've made a list of the swing states from 1824 to 2008 (the data at Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections only go back to 1824) and, when I sorted the states in order of most likely to swing, I got the following results:
SwingsState
10New York
7Ohio
6Illinois
4Pennsylvania
3Michigan
3New Jersey
2Iowa
1California
1Colorado
1Florida
1Idaho
1Louisiana
1Maine
1North Carolina
1South Carolina
1Virginia
1Washington
1West Virginia
1Wisconsin
New York has been the swing state surprisingly often. On the other hand, it hasn't been a swing state since 1944.

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