Yet another weird SF fan

I'm a mathematician, a libertarian, and a science-fiction fan. Common sense? What's that?

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Yet another weird SF fan

Monday, February 09, 2009

Fixing the Undercount, Cui Bono?

Many of my fellow wingnuts (for example, in the comments here) have noticed that the proposed move of the Census Bureau from the Commerce Department to the White House might mean a more energetic attempt to count illegal aliens and have concluded that means it's about turning the government over to the illegals. I'm a bit dubious. The illegal aliens don't vote and even the second generation is too busy earning a living to engage in political activity. I think this is about extending the power of citizens living nearby.

In order to figure out how people living a few miles away from illegal aliens are likely to vote, we must recall that recent immigrants tend to do jobs that used to be done by adolescents. In other words, they will have the job best opportunities in areas with lower birth rates. Another way to look at it is that counting illegal aliens will amplify the voting strength of voters in areas with high abortion rates.

You can think of this as a way to delay the “Roe Effect” by providing a substitute next generation. In some ways, this is even better than a next generation since the next generation might disagree and dilute the Left vote whereas the illegal aliens aren't voting at all.

The one problem with this scheme is that the second and third generations will be able to vote and might not agree with the Left. So if leftists suddenly stop supporting the policy of automatic citizenship for everybody born in the U.S., don't be surprised and especially don't believe that that's a right-wing victory.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

What color is the sky in the world where illegal aliens don't vote?

9:16 PM  
Blogger Joseph said...

It's the same color as in the world where congressional districts where we might expect to find illegal aliens have very low turnout ... almost as though some people there aren't citizens.

1:17 AM  

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